Trends that never dip
The entry requires a sharp flush. A stock that advances without one is never bought, however far it runs. In testing the system sat out a 190% advance entirely — structural, not a malfunction.
Proprietary Technology · Built In-House
Live market data in.A decision out.
TDPS is our own systematic trading software for liquid US equities. It reads live market data and produces an instruction — buy this pullback inside this uptrend, risk exactly this much, take most of the gain here, let the rest run. Every one of those numbers is fixed before the trade opens, which is the entire point.
←Back to ADJL CapitalWhat It Is
Not a signal service.A decision engine.
Most trading advice tells you what to buy. This tells you what to buy, how much of it, where you are wrong, when to take the money, and when to walk away — in advance, in writing, the same way every time. It runs on daily bars against liquid US equities, long only, and it generates the alerts our team actually trades from.
Platform
TradingView · Pine v5
Timeframe
Daily bars
Direction
Long only · no pyramiding
Universe
Liquid US equities
How a Trade Works
Four stages,in order.
Each stage has a single job, and the trade cannot skip ahead. The sequence is what makes the behaviour repeatable — and what makes it possible to say honestly where it fails.
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01
Entry
The system waits for two things to be true at once: an established uptrend, and a sharp short-term flush inside it. It is not predicting a bottom. It is buying a stretched rubber band in a trend that is still intact.
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02
Protection
A hard stop is set from the stock’s own volatility at entry and then frozen for the life of the trade. It does not widen if things get noisy. That single number is the whole loss — everything after it is upside management.
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03
Scale
On the first close back above the short-term average, most of the position is sold and the stop on the remainder moves up to the entry price. From that moment the trade cannot lose money. This mechanic is what carries the hit rate.
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04
Runner
What is left trails a volatility-based stop from the highest point since entry, and exits when the trail breaks, the trend breaks, or a time limit expires. The runner is the only part that can produce a large win.
The Structural Fact
The average loss is biggerthan the average win.
That is not a flaw we are disclosing reluctantly — it is the defining property of the system, and anyone evaluating it should understand it first. Each trade risks slightly more than it makes. The system is profitable entirely because it wins more often than it loses, not because the winners are large.
That makes win rate the load-bearing number. It is the one statistic we watch for degradation, because nothing else in the distribution is holding the edge up.
- Selling most of the position into the first bounce buys a high hit rate at the cost of average win size
- Sell less and the hit rate falls while winners get materially larger — different distributions, similar edge
- Neither setting is objectively right; the choice is about what a person can actually sit through
What We Measured
Backtested,on the clean basis.
The system was tested across 150 symbols and several thousand trades. We report the figures produced after removing outlier trades and suspect symbols — every number gets slightly worse when the data is scrubbed, which is what an honest scrub looks like. A cleaning pass that improved the numbers would be the one worth distrusting.
3,040
Trades in sample
150
Symbols tested
~1.5
Profit factor
Daily
Bar interval
- All figures are backtested — produced over historical bars, not by trading an account
- Backtested results do not predict future results
- Average win is not return per trade; the two differ by roughly fivefold and quoting the first alone would overstate the system
- Detailed statistics and live execution examples are shared with investors, not published
Where It Loses
Every system has a shapeof market that hurts it.
These are this one’s. We publish them because a page that showed only the good charts would be a sales document, and because an investor who does not know these will misread a flat quarter.
Choppy tape under a rising average
The filter keeps saying uptrend, entries pile up, most scrape a small win and give the remainder back at breakeven. The account grinds sideways paying commission. The damage is opportunity cost, not drawdown.
Trend reversals
Moving averages confirm what already happened, so the system will take entries into the first leg down after a top. It is late by construction.
Small accounts
Whole-share rounding and the scale-out both degrade badly when positions are only a few shares — small enough and the scale-out closes everything, deleting the runner and flattering the hit rate.
Why It Matters To You
Technology most firmsour size do not have.
We did not wait for someone to sell us institutional tooling — we wrote it. The same engine that produces these alerts is what our team runs before capital is committed, and it is part of what your money is backing when you invest with ADJL.
Built in-house
Not licensed, not off-the-shelf. Our own model, tuned to how we actually evaluate risk.
Live market data
Prices, trend state and volatility read continuously, so the decision reflects the market now rather than a stale spreadsheet.
Emotion removed
Position size, stop and exit are computed before entry. There is no in-the-moment judgement call to get wrong.
Proprietary to ADJL Capital · Part of how we underwrite
The Full System Note
The detail sits behindthe investor login.
Investors get the complete system note: the full rule set, the measured statistics, annotated charts showing the machinery working and failing, and live execution examples. If you would like access, get in touch.